Prediction Markets
Prediction Markets Litigation Trends
51 predicted defendants identified in Rain Intelligence for this trend — companies that have not yet been sued, but are on plaintiffs’ firms’ radar.
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Rain Intelligence customers see the full list of companies under pre-filing investigation by plaintiffs’ firms — plus the AI-forecasted defendants most likely to be sued next, with case theories, evidence summaries, and plaintiff-firm activity. This public preview shows only what is already on the docket.
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Understanding the trend
What is this trend?
The report tracks litigation and investigation signals tied to prediction markets, sports event contracts, and adjacent online wagering products.
What caused it
The surge follows rapid consumer adoption of event-contract products, state gaming-law challenges, and payout or disclosure disputes involving platforms that market event outcomes as tradable contracts.
Practices driving the lawsuits
- Offering sports or event-based contracts in states that regulate sports wagering.
- Presenting prediction markets as financial products while consumers allege they function as gambling products.
- Disputes over contract language, payout rules, carveouts, and platform disclosures.
- Marketing sports or event-based contracts to retail consumers in states that regulate sports wagering.
Filed cases
Public court records · filterable + sortable
| Filed▼ | Defendant | Court | Firm | Industry | Theory | Complaint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Joshua L. Kaul; John Dillett 3:26-cv-00761 | Western District of Wisconsin | Gass Turek LLC | Financial Services | Other | View |
| Aug 13, 2026 | DraftKings, Inc.; GUS III, LLC 8:26-cv-02199 | Central District of California | REESE LLP | Technology and digital platforms | Other | View |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Kalshi Inc.; KalshiEX LLC; Kalshi Klear Inc.; Kalshi Klear LLC 1:2026cv06824 | Southern District New York | Wollmuth Maher & Deutsch LLP | Technology / Digital Platforms | Other | View |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Andrea Joy Campbell; Jordan Maynard; Dean Serpa; Eileen O'Brien; Bradford R. Hill; Nakisha Skinner; Paul Brodeur 1:2026cv13615 | District of Massachusetts | Aaron Katz Law LLC | Other | Other | View |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Letitia James; Robert Williams; Brian O'Dwyer; Peter J. Moschetti, Jr.; John A. Crotty; Sylvia B. Hamer; Martin J. Mack; Marissa Shorenstein; Jerry Skurnik 1:2026cv06676 | Southern District of New York | Sullivan & Cromwell LLP | Financial Services | Other | View |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Robinhood Markets, Inc.; Robinhood Derivatives, LLC 3:26-cv-08045 | Northern District of California | Wolf Popper LLP | Financial services and banking | Other | View |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Kalshi Inc. | Northern District of Illinois | Mark T. Lavery | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering+1 | View |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Kalshi Inc.|KalshiEX LLC | Southern District of New York | Sterlington, PLLC | Lite DePalma Greenberg & Afanador, LLC | FinTech sector | Other | View |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Raúl Torrez|Terry McGaha|Patrick Garrett|Darren White|Van Billops|Mekko M. Miller|Billy G. Smith | District of New Mexico | Holland & Hart LLP; Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Kwame Raoul|JB Pritzker|Dionne R. Hayden|Sean Brannon|Stephen R. Ferrara|Caleb J. Melamed|Marcus D. Fruchter | Northern District of Illinois | UB Greensfelder LLP; Milbank LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Jun 22, 2026 | KalshiEX LLC | Southern District of New York | Adam Risch | Financial Services | Other | View |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Michael S. Selig|Commodity Futures Trading Commission | District of Columbia | Jenner & Block LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption | View |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Robinhood Markets, Inc.|Robinhood Derivatives, LLC | Northern District of California | Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP; Herman Jones LLP; Law Office of George W. Cochran | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Jun 12, 2026 | State of New Mexico|Michelle Lujan Grisham|Raul Torrez|Patrick Garrett|Indy White|Van Billops|Mekko Miller | District of New Mexico | U.S. Department of Justice|Commodity Futures Trading Commission | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Robinhood Markets, Inc.|Robinhood Derivatives, LLC | Northern District of California | Wolf Popper LLP|Isquith Law LPPC | Financial services and banking | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Robinhood Markets, Inc.|Robinhood Derivatives, LLC | Northern District of California | Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP; Herman Jones LLP | Financial services and banking | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Jun 4, 2026 | KalshiEX LLC|Kalshi Inc.|Kalshi Klear LLC|Kalshi Klear Inc.|Kalshi Trading LLC | Central District of California | Novian & Novian, LLP | Financial Services | Consumer deception+2 | View |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Keith Ellison|Tim Walz|Jon Anglin | District of Minnesota | Norton Rose Fulbright US LLP; Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| May 29, 2026 | Kalshi, Inc. | Western District of Wisconsin | State of Wisconsin | Financial Services | Other | View |
| May 27, 2026 | Keith Ellison|Tim Walz|Jon Anglin | District of Minnesota | Greene Espel PLLP | Milbank LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| May 27, 2026 | Michele Spagnuolo | Southern District of New York | Commodity Futures Trading Commission | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption | View |
| May 21, 2026 | Mark Furcolo|Peter F. Neronha|Christina Tobiasz | District of Rhode Island | Hinckley, Allen & Snyder LLP|Milbank LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| May 19, 2026 | State of Minnesota|Tim Walz|Keith Ellison|Minnesota Department of Public Safety|Jon Anglin | District of Minnesota | U.S. Department of Justice, Civil Division|U.S. Attorney's Office for the District of Minnesota|Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Office of General Counsel | Financial services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| May 18, 2026 | Kalshi, Inc.|KalshiEX, LLC|Kalshi Klear, LLC|Kalshi Klear, Inc.|Kalshi Trading LLC | Northern District of Illinois | Bryson Harris Suciu & DeMay PLLC | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering+1 | View |
| May 12, 2026 | Kalshi, Inc.|KalshiEx, LLC | District of New Mexico | Rey-Bear McLaughlin, LLP | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering | View |
| May 11, 2026 | Kalshi, Inc.|KalshiEX LLC|Kalshi Klear, Inc.|Kalshi Klear LLC|Kalshi Trading LLC|Susquehanna International Group, LLP|Susquehanna Government Products, LLLP | Western District of Kentucky | Rhoads & Rhoads PSC; Davis & Norris, LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| May 8, 2026 | Kalshi Inc. | Western District of Wisconsin | Quarles & Brady LLP | The Law Offices of Rapport and Marston | The Ho-Chunk Nation | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering+1 | View |
| Apr 30, 2026 | KALSHI INC | Middle District of Georgia | GEORGIA GAMBLING RECOVERY LLC | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering | View |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Kalshi Inc. | Western District of Washington | Maze Law Group PLLC | Kothari Law LLC | Wade, Grunberg & Wilson, LLC | Technology and digital platforms | Consumer deception+1 | View |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Robinhood Markets, Inc.|Robinhood Derivatives, LLC | Northern District of California | Wolf Popper LLP | Financial services and banking | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Austin Knudsen|Alex Sterhan|Montana Gambling Control Division|Tony Harbaugh|Jon Metropoulos|Steve Morris|Leo Prigge|Janna Taylor | District of Montana | Laird Cowley, PLLC; Milbank LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Mary Jo Flaherty|Division of Gaming Enforcement|James T. Plousis|Alisa Cooper|Casino Control Commission|Matthew J. Platkin|Joyce Mollineaux | U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit | Milbank LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| Apr 2, 2026 | State of Connecticut|Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection, Gaming Division | District of Connecticut | U.S. Department of Justice Civil Division|U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Office of General Counsel | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Tina Griffin | Alicia Levy | Sarah Lawson | Noah Skartvedt | Michael Charles | Nicholas W. Brown | Western district of washington | Davis Wright Tremaine Llp, Cravath, Swaine & Moore Llp | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Kalshiex llc | Kalshi inc. | Kalshi klear llc | Kalshi klear inc. | Kalshi trading llc | New York Southern District Court | Leeds Brown Law, P.c. and Daniella Levi & Associates, P.c. | Consumer products and retail | Unlicensed wagering+2 | View |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Gemini Space Station, Inc. | Southern district of new york | Pomerantz Llp | Financial Services | Consumer deception | View |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Kalshiex llc | Kalshi inc. | Kalshi klear llc | Kalshi klear inc. | Kalshi trading llc | California Central District Court | Novian & Novian, Llp | Consumer products / retail | Consumer deception+1 | View |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Robinhood | Western District of Michigan | Miller Johnson | Cravath, Swaine & Moore LLP | Financial Services | Other | View |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Kalshi | District of utah | Snell & wilmer l.l.p., milbank llp | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Feb 13, 2026 | North american derivatives exchange inc d/b/a crypto.com | Foris dax inc | Does 1-20 | Florida Southern District Court | Varnell & Warwick, P.A., Almeida Law Group Llc, Weitz & Luxenberg Pc, Cutter Law, P.C., Tycko & Zavareei Llp | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Blockratize inc dba polymarket | qcx llc dba polymarket us | qc clearing llc dba polymarket clearing | qc tech llc dba pm us tech | adventure one qss inc dba polymarket | does 1-20 | Southern District of New York | Weitz & Luxenberg, Cutter Law, Almeida Law Group, Tycko & Zavareei | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering+1 | View |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Andrea Joy Campbell | Jordan Maynard | Eileen O'Brien | Bradford R. Hill | Nakisha Skinner | Paul Brodeur | Dean Serpa | District of Massachusetts | Gibson Dunn & Crutcher LLP, Mintz Levin Cohn Ferris Glovsky and Popeo PC | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Blockratize inc dba polymarket | Adventure one qss inc dba polymarket.com | Qcx llc dba polymarket us | New York Southern District Court | Shamis & Gentile, P.A. and Edelsberg Law, P.A. | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering+1 | View |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Aaron d. ford | Mike dreitzer | George assad | Chandeni k. sendall | Jennifer togliatti | Rosa solis-rainey | Brian krolicki | George markantonis | Abbi silver | District of Nevada | Snell & Wilmer L.l.p., Sullivan & Cromwell Llp | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Robinhood Markets, Inc. | Eastern district of california | no law firms representing the plaintiff are explicitly mentioned in the provided information | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering+1 | View |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Kalshi inc. | Kalshiex llc | Kalshi klear inc. | Kalshi klear llc | Kalshi trading llc | Susquehanna international group, llp | Susquehanna government products, llp | Alabama Middle District Court | Beasley, Allen, Crow, Methvin, Portis & Miles, P.C.; Smith Krivoshey, Pc; The Cleveland Firm, Llc | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering+1 | View |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Kalshiex llc | Kalshi inc | Kalshi klear inc | Kalshi klear llc | Kalshi trading llc | New York Southern District Court | Kaplan Fox & Kilsheimer Llp | Consumer products and retail | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Kalshi, inc. | Kalshiex, llc | Kalshi klear, llc | Kalshi klear, inc. | Kalshi trading llc | Illinois Northern District Court | Bryson Harris Suciu & Demay Pllc | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Dec 18, 2025 | William tong | Bryan t. cafferelli | Kristofer gilman | District of Connecticut | Sullivan & Cromwell llp | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Kwame raoul | Dionne r. hayden | Sean brannon | Stephen r. ferrara | Caleb j. melamed | Marcus d. fruchter | Northern District of Illinois | Scharf Banks Marmor Llc, Sullivan & Cromwell Llp | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Dana Nessel | Jim Ananich | Joni M. Thrower Davis | Andrew T. Palms | Deidre A. Lambert-Bounds | Mark Evenson | Henry Williams | Eastern District of Michigan | Miller, Canfield, Paddock and Stone, Plc and Sullivan & Cromwell Llp | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Connecticut department of consumer protection | District of Connecticut United States | Mccarter & English, Llp and Milbank Llp | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Kalshi inc. | Kalshiex llc | Kalshi klear inc. | Kalshi klear llc | Kalshi trading llc | New York Southern District Court | Lieff cabraser heimann & bernstein, llp | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering+1 | View |
| Oct 27, 2025 | New York State Gaming Commission | Southern District New York | Milbank Llp | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Matthew T. Schuler | Thomas J. Stickrath | Sheetal Bajoria | Scott Borgemenke | Keith Cheney | Penelope Cunningham | Christopher Smitherman | Triffon Callos | Ohio Casino Control Commission | Dave Yost | Southern District of Ohio | Organ Law LLP | Milbank LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption | View |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Commodity Futures Trading Commission | Caroline D. Pham | District of Columbia | Milbank LLP | Prediction markets / online wagering | Regulatory preemption | View |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Andrea Joy Campbell|Jordan Maynard|Eileen O'Brien|Bradford R. Hill|Nakisha Skinner|Paul Brodeur | District of Massachusetts | Eckert Seamans Cherin & Mellott, LLC | Cravath, Swaine & Moore LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+2 | View |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Kalshiex Llc | Robinhood Derivatives, Llc | Western District of Wisconsin | Quarles & Brady LLP | Rapport and Marston | Legislative Counsel, Ho-Chunk Nation | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering+1 | View |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Robinhood | District of Nevada | Pisanelli Bice PLLC | Cravath, Swaine & Moore LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption | View |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Mary Jo Flaherty | New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement | Matthew J. Platkin | District of New Jersey | Chiesa Shahinian & Giantomasi PC | Cravath, Swaine & Moore LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption | View |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Kalshi | Northern District of California | the law offices of rapport and marston | Financial Services | Unlicensed wagering+1 | View |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Kirk D. Hendrick | George Assad | Chandeni K. Sendall | State of Nevada | Aaron D. Ford | District of Nevada | Snell & Wilmer | Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption | View |
| Apr 21, 2025 | John A. Martin | Maryland Lottery And Gaming Control Agency | Michael Eaton | Everett D. Browning, Sr. | E. Randolph Marriner | Ade Adebisi | Diane Croghan | George L. Doetsch, Jr. | Harold E. Hodges | James J. Stakem | Maryland Lottery And Gaming Control Commission | Anthony G. Brown | District of Maryland | Milbank LLP | Financial Services | Other | View |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Kirk D. Hendrick | George Assad | Chandeni K. Sendall | Nevada Gaming Control Board | Jennifer Togliatti | Rosa Solis-Rainey | Brian Krolicki | George Markantonis | Abbi Silver | Nevada Gaming Commission | Aaron D. Ford | District of Nevada | Weinberg, Wheeler, Hudgins, Gunn & Dial, LLC | Milbank LLP | Financial Services | Other | View |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Mary Jo Flaherty | New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement | James T. Plousis | Alisa Cooper | Joyce Mollineaux | New Jersey Casino Control Commission | Matthew J. Platkin | District of New Jersey | Milbank LLP | Financial Services | Regulatory preemption+1 | View |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Underdog Sports, Llc D/B/A Underdog Fantasy | New York Eastern District Court | Lieff Cabraser Heimann & Bernstein, Llp | Media & Entertainment | Unlicensed wagering+2 | View |
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